Crypto DCA backtest in Canadian dollars

    Try a scenario:

    Your plan

    Commission or spread on each buy, as your platform discloses it.

    Price path (CAD)

    BTC prices
    Fall from the start to the bottom.
    0 for a smooth path. The wiggles repeat exactly for the same inputs.

    A simplified path through the turning points you set, not real prices. Switch to “My own prices” to replay real history you have.

    BTC, Jan 1, 2025 to Jan 1, 2027 · scenario path
    $6,250 invested became $9,277 (+48.4%)

    25 purchases at an average cost of $67,374.31, against a last price of $100,000.00. The same money invested on day one would be worth $6,158 (−1.5%).

    BTC bought
    0.092765
    Costs paid (spread + fees)
    $92
    Worst moment vs money in
    −35.6%
    Longest stretch underwater
    479 days
    Price fall peak to trough
    −55.7%
    Lump sum on day one instead
    $6,158
    Money put in vs what it was worth$0$5,000202520262027
    Value of your coinsMoney put inHover or tap the chart to read values.
    BTC price and your average cost$60,000$80,000$100,000Your average cost $67,374202520262027
    BTC (CAD)Hover or tap the chart to read values.

    What is driving this result

    • Buying a fixed dollar amount buys more units when the price is low, so your average cost ($67,374) sits below the simple average of the prices you paid.
    • Costs took $92, or 1.48% of what you put in. A spread is charged on every buy, so small frequent purchases pay it many times.
    • Spreading the purchases did better than a lump sum because much of the buying happened below the starting price.
    • This is a scenario path through the turning points you set, not real prices. Add your own daily prices to replay real history.

    Where this plan breaks even

    Each line changes one assumption and holds the others fixed.

    Price
    The plan is back to even at $67,374.31 per unit. The last price was $100,000.00.
    Spread
    One more percentage point of spread on every buy would leave you with $91 less at the end.
    DCA return over 730 days by how far the price falls and where it finishes ($250 every 30 days, same costs). Green is a gain; the lump-sum return is shown after the slash.
    Lowest point ↓ / Finish vs start →−50%−25%0%+25%+50%+100%
    −20%−15% / −51%−8% / −26%10% / −1%30% / 23%50% / 48%88% / 97%
    −40%−15% / −51%3% / −26%28% / −1%51% / 23%75% / 48%120% / 97%
    −60%−4% / −51%29% / −26%60% / −1%90% / 23%120% / 48%177% / 97%
    −80%42% / −51%93% / −26%141% / −1%189% / 23%235% / 48%326% / 97%

    Estimates from your inputs, calculated in your browser. Education, not financial or tax advice, and not advice from the site showing this calculator.

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